Capacity and ramp-up

Can your industrial system absorb what you just committed to?

The questions behind the question:

  • We have committed to doubling cadence in eighteen months. Is it feasible, and what does it require?
  • Where is the real bottleneck — the line, the tooling, the qualified operators, or the tier-two supplier nobody is watching?
  • If we take this order, what does it displace, and is that trade worth it?
  • What does a three-week shutdown in Q3 actually cost across the network?

Why it is hard today

Capacity is not a number, it is a system

The plan says the line can do 40 a month. It can, if the tooling is available, the operators are qualified, the supplier delivers, and nothing needs maintenance. Capacity is the interaction of those, and spreadsheets model them separately.

The bottleneck moves

Solve the line, and the constraint jumps to qualified labour. Solve that, and it jumps to a single-source component. Sequential analysis finds the first bottleneck. It rarely finds the third.

Ramp-up plans are built on averages

Averages hide the months where three constraints coincide.

Each iteration takes weeks

The killer is not that the model is wrong. It is that testing the interesting variant costs a week nobody has.

What Paradygma changes

Every constraint is dynamically modelled

Machines, tooling, investment, people, qualifications, suppliers, maintenance windows and calendars evaluated together, because that is how they actually behave.

The bottleneck sequence, not just the bottleneck

You see what breaks first, what breaks after you have fixed it, and how much each fix buys you. That converts an argument about priorities into a ranked list.

Feasibility with a confidence you can defend

Not “we think we can”. “We can, provided these four conditions hold, and here is what happens if each one doesn't.”

The variant you wanted to test

Testing a hypothesis stops costing a week of delay. It costs a coffee.

Bring us your question

Forty-five minutes, on your actual decision. We will tell you what is modellable, what data it needs, and what it takes to be live.

Model your decision